marilyn vos savant

• 1990'da insanlarin basina sardigi monty hall probleminin orjinali soyledir:
  
  suppose you're on a game show, and you're given the choice of three doors. behind one door is a car, behind the others, goats. you pick a door, say #1, and the host, who knows what's behind the doors, opens another door, say #3, which has a goat. he says to you, "do you want to pick door #2?" is it to your advantage to switch your choice of doors?
  
  ayrica bundan 1-2 sene sonra "two boys problem" adiyla insanlarin kafasini karistiran baska bir soruyla geri gelmistir:
  
  a shopkeeper says she has two new baby beagles to show you, but she doesn't know whether they're male, female, or a pair. you tell her that you want only a male, and she telephones the fellow who's giving them a bath. "is at least one a male?" she asks him. "yes!" she informs you with a smile. what is the probability that the other one is a male?
  
  cevabi reklamlardan sonra!!